Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.952787 10.213858 11.594457 13.219004 15.079581 17.145434 19.615364
2026-01-11 7.417108 9.111191 11.110382 13.647310 16.786584 20.551281 25.420214
2026-01-18 6.201653 8.025391 10.294628 13.332594 17.304715 22.337641 29.224517
2026-01-25 5.367183 7.248609 9.693677 13.114705 17.796006 24.004338 32.907879
2026-02-01 4.727276 6.624691 9.185180 12.907685 18.207517 25.521670 36.451321
2026-02-08 4.209770 6.097044 8.730911 12.693723 18.539879 26.901981 39.869324
2026-02-15 3.781075 5.642675 8.321427 12.479902 18.817372 28.184312 43.212712
2026-02-22 3.613698 5.548081 8.413478 12.995961 20.199040 31.183440 49.389660
2026-03-01 3.389291 5.341733 8.312492 13.196200 21.096378 33.499117 54.688941
2026-03-08 3.134403 5.061964 8.069029 13.141152 21.569267 35.165737 59.065107
2026-03-15 2.898400 4.789709 7.810573 13.031333 21.929648 36.659794 63.261072
2026-03-22 2.795448 4.724729 7.878200 13.459672 23.213275 39.774396 70.489821
2026-03-29 2.672284 4.617935 7.871446 13.767374 24.328324 42.717374 77.737792
2026-04-05 2.581060 4.557647 7.937011 14.203445 25.702278 46.223361 86.330827
2026-04-12 2.373572 4.274999 7.592633 13.875872 25.664281 47.184388 90.262658
2026-04-19 2.202024 4.042579 7.317776 13.648800 25.785282 48.433796 94.838171
2026-04-26 2.048254 3.830193 7.061776 13.433075 25.903566 49.676459 99.495961
2026-05-03 1.907408 3.630738 6.813730 13.210118 25.984278 50.843717 104.093014
2026-05-10 1.778909 3.444769 6.576527 12.987315 26.042509 51.962734 108.678124
2026-05-17 1.753891 3.457306 6.718970 13.525062 27.669407 56.343705 120.492755
2026-05-24 1.691071 3.390010 6.700040 13.733724 28.634955 59.447336 129.848746
2026-05-31 1.603154 3.265475 6.557974 13.676361 29.035736 61.400003 136.850657
2026-06-07 1.515730 3.135467 6.395229 13.561921 29.302834 63.084355 143.396656